e are
operating with the motivation of the section
( Markovian projection). The
reference for this section is [Antonov2006]. The goal
is to approximate the process
of the
form
using the process
of the
form
Here the
is some generic process (existence/uniqueness restrictions apply),
and
are deterministic functions. This correponds to restricting our attention to
minimization among the class of linear functions. We
seek
where the
refers to the scalar product in two dimensions. Hence, we will be evaluating
variations with respect to
and
and equating them to zero. Thus we seek
and
so
that 
where the
and
are any smooth deterministic functions. We proceed with calculation of the
derivatives: 
where we introduced the notation
 .
Hence, the functions
and
are solved from the two equations
and
in terms of the expectations
 ,
 ,
 .
The
is singnificantly easier to calculate because
may be represented as a solution of a system of ODEs. We will see examples of
such technique immediately below and in few following sections. Moreover, we
are already operating in the approximation mode, hence we may expand in series
of the volatility scale (assuming that the general magnitude of volatility is
much less then 1). We establish that
is of magnitude
 :  | | (Variance of target process) |
and consider leading terms of the equations
and
 :
The leading terms of the second equation
are
hence | | (MarkPr1 Sigma) |
The leading terms of the first equation
are
hence | | (MarkPr1 Beta) |
Similarly, to ( Variance of target
process) we apply
operation under the expectation sign and produce an ODE problem for all the
interesting expectations.
|
